NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: St John's

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#18 St John's

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: likely out

St. John's résumé hinges on a neutral-site win over Baylor and a razor-thin neutral-site loss to Iowa State that prove they can compete with top teams, but damaging defeats at Alabama and Auburn and a string of routs over low-major opponents keep the case from feeling airtight. Their remaining Big East slate hands them high-leverage opportunities to change the narrative, most notably road tests at Creighton, Villanova, Xavier and Connecticut and marquee home dates with Connecticut and Kentucky, and collecting true road or neutral wins in those spots would turn Baylor from an isolated bright spot into a signature victory. If they falter in those swing games the committee will point to the nonconference setbacks and the absence of quality road wins, but clean results against the league’s better teams would quiet the concerns and solidify their standing.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/3	Quinnipiac	177	W108-74
11/8	Alabama	13	L103-96
11/15	William & Mary	142	W93-60
11/20	Bucknell	284	W97-49
11/24	(N)Iowa St	4	L83-82
11/25	(N)Baylor	25	W96-81
11/26	(N)Auburn	23	L85-74
12/6	Mississippi	45	78%
12/13	Iona	190	98%
12/16	DePaul	116	94%
12/20	(N)Kentucky	11	44%
12/23	Harvard	195	98%
12/31	@Georgetown	86	75%
1/3	Providence	72	86%
1/6	@Butler	43	58%
1/10	@Creighton	56	64%
1/13	Marquette	79	87%
1/17	@Villanova	42	58%
1/20	Seton Hall	65	84%
1/24	@Xavier	82	74%
1/28	Butler	43	78%
2/3	@DePaul	116	83%
2/6	Connecticut	6	53%
2/9	Xavier	82	88%
2/14	@Providence	72	70%
2/18	@Marquette	79	72%
2/21	Creighton	56	82%
2/25	@Connecticut	6	31%
2/28	Villanova	42	78%
3/3	Georgetown	86	89%
3/6	@Seton Hall	65	67%