NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: St John's

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#20 St John's

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: likely out

St John's résumé is anchored by a neutral-site victory over Baylor and a solid win over Mississippi yet otherwise reads like a collection of expected wins against midmajor opposition that will not impress a committee. The staff has shown it can compete with top programs, as seen in a narrow neutral loss to Iowa State and competitive setbacks at the neutral-site games with Kentucky and Alabama, but it still lacks a true road or neutral scalp beyond the Baylor result to offset those defeats. That shortfall matters because the Big East schedule presents clear chances to flip the script with important home games against Providence and Xavier and high-stakes trips to Villanova, Creighton, and Connecticut. Defensive steadiness and strong home form are positives, but vulnerability away from home and a resume padded by routine wins leave the team in a fragile spot until it converts one of those upcoming league tests into a marquee victory.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/3	Quinnipiac	154	W108-74
11/8	Alabama	17	L103-96
11/15	William & Mary	122	W93-60
11/20	Bucknell	311	W97-49
11/24	(N)Iowa St	2	L83-82
11/25	(N)Baylor	31	W96-81
11/26	(N)Auburn	39	L85-74
12/6	Mississippi	59	W63-58
12/13	Iona	167	W91-64
12/16	DePaul	120	W79-66
12/20	(N)Kentucky	18	L78-66
12/23	Harvard	188	97%
12/31	@Georgetown	94	73%
1/3	Providence	73	83%
1/6	@Butler	54	58%
1/10	@Creighton	49	56%
1/13	Marquette	109	90%
1/17	@Villanova	30	44%
1/20	Seton Hall	43	74%
1/24	@Xavier	106	76%
1/28	Butler	54	77%
2/3	@DePaul	120	80%
2/6	Connecticut	7	44%
2/9	Xavier	106	90%
2/14	@Providence	73	66%
2/18	@Marquette	109	77%
2/21	Creighton	49	76%
2/25	@Connecticut	7	24%
2/28	Villanova	30	66%
3/3	Georgetown	94	88%
3/6	@Seton Hall	43	53%